Monday, 28 April 2025

Trump-Harris 2024 The figures that just don’t add up

Three reasons to think that the 2024 US election was stolen
 
 

By Martin Cohen

OKAY, EVERYONE KNOWS that there were big surprises in the 2024 election. The election that for months was “too close to call” overnight became something of a landslide for Trump.

Pollsters who had called states correctly for thirty years suddenly had everything wrong.

There were no checks needed for this vote- instead the Democrats folded the same day.

Only much later - too late - did sceptical voices start to be hears. Because there were - are - some very odd features to this election day.

Three examples. 

First one: in a typical election, if there is a 'swing' to a party, it applies widely. Yet the voting patterns showed a 7% jump in the Trump enthusiasts in swing states against a mere 0.6% shift elsewhere. That's not just odd! It's unbelievable. (Add to which, in five of the seven swing states where election results show Donald Trump as the victor, the Senate races and sometimes the majority of down-ballot races were swept by Democrats!)


Similarly, the election showed Trump flipping 88 counties from Democrat to Republican and zero counties going the other way. Yet Trump won less than half of the popular vote! In 1984, when Reagan won nearly 60% of the popular vote the Democrats still flipped 30 counties!

There are 3,141 counties in the United States. 3,053 voted for the same party in the last two elections.
Trump flipped eight eight of them: Harris flipped zero.

Trump’s achievement is not only remearkable but literally unprecedented. Newsweek noted that nearly a third of flipped counties were also longstanding Democratic strongholds, spanning decades of solid blue elections.

Starr County, TX - blue for 132 years
Duval County, TX - 112 years
Webb County, TX - 108 years
Carlton County, MN - 92 years
Maverick County, TX - 92 years
Iberville Parish, LA - 48 years
St. James Parish, LA - 48 years
Marshall County, MS - 48 years
Anson County, NC - 48 years
Jasper County, SC - 48 years
Hidalgo County, TX - 48 years
Willacy County, TX - 48 years
Surry County, VA - 48 years
Scott County, IA - 36 years
Imperial County, CA - 32 years
Jefferson County, GA - 32 years
Miami-Dade County, FL - 32 years
Tensas Parish, LA - 32 years
Pasquotank County, NC - 32 years
Atlantic County, NJ - 32 years
Cumberland County, NJ - 32 years
Socorro County, NM - 32 years
Naussau County, NY - 32 years
Bucks County, PA - 32 years
Passaic County, NJ - 28 years
Clinton County, NY - 28 years
Trump “apparently” flipped 54 counties that had previously voted for both Clinton and Biden, and flipped back 34 counties that had voted for him in 2016 but switched to Biden in 2020.
And Harris failed to ‘flip’ any counties. 

The last time a candidate did this (flipped no counties) was nearly 100 years ago in the midst of the Great Depression, when Herbert Hoover failed to flip a single county red from blue in 1932. In that election, Franklin D. Roosevelt  ended up with 472 electoral votes to Hoover’s 42, eventually carrying no less than 42 states to Hoovers’s paltry six.

Even in the infamous 1984 landslide where Ronal Reagan won 49 states, a few red counties still flipped to Walter Mondale

But back to the huge difference in voting patterns in the Swing States and the national vote. Everyone in US politics knew that just seven states would decide the election. And then we come to Musk's $1m-a-day to swing states voters that the the hapless Democrats muttered was deeply concerning’. As part of his Must essentially hoovered up voting information. Musk said he wants to get “over a million, maybe two million, voters in the battleground states to sign the petition.

Yet in early November, a lawyer for Elon Musk said in a Philadelphia courtroom Monday that the winners of Musk’s $1 million daily prize giveaway in election swing states are not chosen at random, contradicting what Musk had said when he announced the contest in October. 

Christopher Peterson, a University of Utah law professor who specialises in consumer protection, said in an email to NBC News of the disclosure: “This is absolutely, unambiguously illegal.” Adding:
“You cannot lawfully lie to the public about conducting a random sweepstakes, lottery, or contest and then rig the results to hand-select the winners,” he said. “It really is not complicated. This is just fraud; a simple, ugly fraud on the public.”

Clearly Musk was prepared to lie and cheat – and in public view – to help Trump win. The idea that he might also use this bizarrely conducted trawl of voter names and addresses (just in those extraordinarily pro-Trump ‘Swing States’) - to tamper with the vote tabulators does not seem completely our of character. Quite the reverse!

To sum up, in modern, competitive elections, this 88–0 split is a unicorn – it’s never happened before, nothing remotely like this has ever been seen.

And yet…  in her concession speech Harris urged all Americans to accept the results of the election saying:

“A fundamental principle of American democracy is that when we lose an election, we accept the results.. And anyone who seeks the public trust must honour it.”

Fine words, for a politician for whom politics is a well-paid hobby. For a politician whose ethics allowed for overt support for a likely genocide. But history may also show them to foolish words, indeed Harris’ most politically tin-eared comment yet.

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